Polkadot / U.S. Dollar(DOT-USD)
Auto-detected technical analysis for DOT-USD · data as of Jul 21, 2026. The chart above is live; the read below updates daily.
DOT-USD is currently forming a triangle on the daily timeframe. Detected Jul 21, 2026.
A triangle is a breakdown that suggests the recent run may be rolling over. A breakout projects a measured-move target near $2.98 (−25.7%). Across 17,276 backtested triangles, the setup followed through 53.5% of the time, averaging +0.37R; DOT-USD's own triangles have hit 0.0%.
New to this pattern? What a triangle is and how to trade it →
DOT-USD's most recent completed triangle resolved as a win: it broke down on Oct 10, 2025 near $3.92, then reached its target at $2.98 on Oct 11, 2025 — a 24.0% move (+1.82R) over 1 sessions. Across 18 backtested triangles, this setup wins 72.2% of the time.
Historical pattern statistics (1986-12-19 – 2026-07-16), not a prediction.
Every completed pattern trade our nightly backtest found on DOT-USD's daily chart, newest first — wins and losses alike.
| Pattern | Entry | Exit | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Triangle | Oct 10, 2025 @ $3.92 | Oct 11, 2025 @ $2.98 | Win | +25.7% · +1.82R |
| Rising Wedge | Sep 23, 2025 @ $3.95 | Oct 10, 2025 @ $3.16 | Win | +24.5% · +0.85R |
| Bullish Pennant | Sep 9, 2025 @ $4.10 | Oct 10, 2025 @ $3.14 | Loss | +36.5% · -2.32R |
| Triangle | Aug 28, 2025 @ $3.82 | Sep 12, 2025 @ $4.32 | Loss | +28.6% · -1.07R |
| Triangle | Mar 8, 2025 @ $4.26 | May 10, 2025 @ $5.31 | Loss | +61.3% · -1.05R |
| Falling Wedge | Jan 27, 2025 @ $6.09 | Feb 3, 2025 @ $4.25 | Win | +31.0% · +1.22R |
| Falling Wedge | Nov 1, 2024 @ $3.87 | Nov 9, 2024 @ $4.63 | Loss | +22.4% · -1.02R |
| Triangle | Jun 7, 2024 @ $7.08 | Jun 18, 2024 @ $5.54 | Win | +26.8% · +5.69R |
| Falling Wedge | Apr 12, 2024 @ $8.10 | Jun 18, 2024 @ $5.64 | Win | +30.0% · +2.45R |
| Falling Wedge | Feb 7, 2024 @ $6.81 | Mar 16, 2024 @ $9.68 | Win | +34.0% · +9.55R |
| Falling Wedge | Jan 28, 2024 @ $6.67 | Mar 16, 2024 @ $9.68 | Win | +25.3% · +4.30R |
| Triangle | Jan 19, 2024 @ $6.94 | Mar 1, 2024 @ $8.67 | Loss | +39.4% · -1.05R |
On the weekly chart, the nearest level worth watching is a ceiling overhead near $2.01 — where price has stalled before.
| Date | Open | High | Low | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2026 | $0.83 | $0.87 | $0.82 | $0.85 |
| Jul 20, 2026 | $0.82 | $0.83 | $0.80 | $0.83 |
| Jul 19, 2026 | $0.84 | $0.84 | $0.81 | $0.82 |
| Jul 18, 2026 | $0.85 | $0.85 | $0.83 | $0.84 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | $0.86 | $0.87 | $0.83 | $0.85 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | $0.85 | $0.87 | $0.83 | $0.86 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | $0.85 | $0.87 | $0.84 | $0.85 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | $0.84 | $0.86 | $0.83 | $0.85 |
| Jul 13, 2026 | $0.84 | $0.86 | $0.82 | $0.84 |
| Jul 12, 2026 | $0.85 | $0.86 | $0.83 | $0.84 |
Technical analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice. Auto-detected patterns and levels update daily; the chart above is live.