Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Chart Patterns, Support & Resistance & Technical Analysis

Auto-detected technical analysis for MPC · data as of Aug 4, 2026. The chart above is live; the read below updates daily.

$312.61last close · Aug 4, 202652-week range $158.00 – $326.92 · 4.38% below the high

MPC Triangle Pattern

MPC is currently forming a triangle on the daily timeframe. Detected Aug 4, 2026.

A triangle is a brief, tidy pause that typically continues the move higher. A breakout projects a measured-move target near $286.09 (+10.6%). Across 13,619 backtested triangles, the setup followed through 52.4% of the time, averaging +0.36R; MPC's own triangles have hit 66.7%.

DirectionBullishTarget$286.09Projected move+10.6%Breakout level$260.99

New to this pattern? What a triangle is and how to trade it →

MPC's Most Recent Triangle Trade

MPC's most recent completed triangle resolved as a win: it broke higher on Jun 2, 2026 near $262.54, then reached its target at $306.05 on Jul 28, 2026 — a +2.05R move (16.6%) over 38 sessions. Across 54 backtested triangles, this setup wins 61.1% of the time.

OutcomeWinResult+2.05REntry$262.54Exit$306.05

Learn about triangle

How Triangles Have Performed

Win rate
52.4%
Avg return
+0.36R
Backtested trades
13,619
MPC win rate
66.7%

Historical pattern statistics (2006-08-04 – 2026-08-04), not a prediction.

How these backtests work →

MPC Pattern Trade History

Every completed pattern trade our nightly backtest found on MPC's daily chart, newest first — wins and losses alike.

PatternEntryExitOutcomeResult
TriangleJun 2, 2026 @ $262.54Jul 28, 2026 @ $306.05Win+2.05R
Rising WedgeApr 1, 2026 @ $240.33Apr 17, 2026 @ $214.01Win+1.71R
TriangleFeb 3, 2026 @ $180.69Feb 18, 2026 @ $199.57Win+1.78R
TriangleDec 10, 2025 @ $187.75Dec 18, 2025 @ $170.58Win+1.65R
TriangleFeb 26, 2025 @ $149.41Mar 5, 2025 @ $135.60Win+1.25R
Falling WedgeOct 8, 2024 @ $157.33Dec 18, 2024 @ $134.20Win+1.14R
TriangleSep 6, 2024 @ $168.43Oct 29, 2024 @ $146.42Win+2.43R
Rising WedgeJan 30, 2024 @ $162.25Feb 20, 2024 @ $164.29Win+0.15R
TriangleJan 3, 2024 @ $159.32Apr 12, 2024 @ $208.77Win+3.97R
Falling WedgeDec 18, 2023 @ $150.93Feb 20, 2024 @ $164.29Win+1.34R
TriangleDec 6, 2023 @ $147.76Jan 3, 2024 @ $157.89Loss-1.69R
TriangleNov 7, 2023 @ $146.16Jan 26, 2024 @ $160.52Loss-1.06R

MPC Support and Resistance Levels

Price is being turned away at a ceiling near $318.75 and starting to slide. On the weekly chart, the next floor below sits near $246.00 — about 21% away.

  • Traders commonly watch $246.00 as a target (its 38.2% retracement) — think of it as a sensible next stop, not a guarantee.
  • That floor is the first place the slide might steady — worth watching how price behaves as it gets there.
  • There's nothing to act on yet — the spot to watch is right at the $318.75 ceiling, where price is testing it now, not out here in the slide. Chasing once price pulls away tends to be worse odds.

Nearest auto-detected support sits near $273.27, resistance near $318.75. These are chart/swing-derived levels, not formula pivots.

Resistance
$318.75$402.35
Support
$273.27$272.46$271.88$265.92$264.95$264.53$253.74$247.48$245.39

MPC Recent Daily Prices

DateOpenHighLowClose
Aug 4, 2026$308.83$315.12$301.57$312.61
Aug 3, 2026$311.12$317.72$305.84$307.03
Jul 31, 2026$316.31$317.40$311.01$316.47
Jul 30, 2026$304.90$316.53$304.90$314.08
Jul 29, 2026$312.85$315.72$307.39$308.72
Jul 28, 2026$313.19$315.00$305.95$306.05
Jul 27, 2026$306.68$313.74$305.39$312.35
Jul 24, 2026$311.70$316.49$308.68$309.24
Jul 23, 2026$323.40$323.76$311.20$312.27
Jul 22, 2026$326.67$326.92$315.68$315.82

MPC Frequently Asked Questions

What chart pattern is MPC forming right now?
As of Aug 4, 2026, TradingPal's detector identifies a triangle on Marathon Petroleum (MPC) on the daily chart, with a measured-move target of $286.09.
Is a triangle bullish or bearish?
The triangle detected on MPC is a bullish pattern, projecting a measured-move target of $286.09. See its full backtested track record above — that's the real edge, not the textbook label.
How reliable is a triangle pattern, and what is its win rate?
Across TradingPal's backtest of the triangle family (13,619 trades over 631 symbols), it resolved in the expected direction 52.4% of the time with an average of +0.36R. These are historical statistics, not a prediction.
What are the support and resistance levels for MPC?
Based on auto-detected, swing-derived levels (as of Aug 4, 2026), MPC's nearest support is around $273.27 and nearest resistance around $318.75.
What is the price target if MPC's pattern breaks out?
The detected triangle has a geometry-based measured-move target of $286.09 (pattern height projected from the breakout). This is a technical target, not a recommendation.
What was MPC's closing price on Aug 4, 2026?
Marathon Petroleum (MPC) last closed at $312.61 on Aug 4, 2026. For the live quote, see the chart above or a real-time quote provider.

Technical analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice. Auto-detected patterns and levels update daily; the chart above is live.