Marathon Petroleum(MPC)

Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Chart Patterns, Support & Resistance & Technical Analysis

Auto-detected technical analysis for MPC · data as of Jul 22, 2026. The chart above is live; the read below updates daily.

$315.82last close · Jul 22, 202652-week range $158.00 – $326.92 · 3.4% below the high

Ascending Triangle · playing out now

MPC just broke higher out of a ascending triangle — a brief, tidy pause inside a strong run. That's usually a breather before another push up.

On this chart, setups like it have followed through about 71% of the time.

As long as price stays above $241.4, the setup is intact — a daily close back below there is the cue to step away.

It's already reached the first target near $308.6 and is still going. From here, the calm way to follow the move is to stay with the 10-day average — and only step aside when a day finally closes below it.

MPC Triangle Pattern

MPC is currently forming a triangle on the daily timeframe. Detected Jul 22, 2026.

DirectionBullishTarget$308.59Projected move+21.6%Breakout level$262.72

New to this pattern? What a triangle is and how to trade it →

How Triangles Have Performed

Win rate

53.5%

Avg return

+0.37R

Backtested trades

17,276

MPC win rate

64.3%

Historical pattern statistics (1986-12-19 – 2026-07-16), not a prediction.

How these backtests work →

MPC Pattern Trade History

Every completed pattern trade our nightly backtest found on MPC's daily chart, newest first — wins and losses alike.

Pattern	Entry	Exit	Outcome	Result
Rising Wedge	Mar 31, 2026 @ $240.06	Apr 17, 2026 @ $215.25	Win	+14.4% · +1.58R
Triangle	Feb 3, 2026 @ $180.69	Feb 18, 2026 @ $199.57	Win	+14.5% · +1.78R
Triangle	Dec 10, 2025 @ $187.75	Dec 18, 2025 @ $170.77	Win	+10.0% · +3.64R
Triangle	Feb 26, 2025 @ $149.41	Mar 5, 2025 @ $135.70	Win	+10.1% · +1.24R
Triangle	Sep 6, 2024 @ $168.43	Oct 29, 2024 @ $146.53	Win	+14.3% · +2.42R
Triangle	Jan 30, 2024 @ $162.25	Feb 20, 2024 @ $164.29	Win	+7.7% · +0.15R
Triangle	Jan 3, 2024 @ $159.32	Apr 12, 2024 @ $208.77	Win	+12.8% · +4.74R
Falling Wedge	Dec 18, 2023 @ $150.93	Feb 20, 2024 @ $164.29	Win	+10.3% · +1.34R
Triangle	Dec 6, 2023 @ $147.76	Jan 3, 2024 @ $157.89	Loss	+12.8% · -1.69R
Rising Wedge	Apr 17, 2023 @ $127.94	May 2, 2023 @ $115.26	Win	+11.7% · +1.16R
Bullish Pennant	Mar 29, 2023 @ $134.01	May 2, 2023 @ $116.97	Loss	+19.6% · -1.27R
Triangle	Mar 13, 2023 @ $124.97	Mar 31, 2023 @ $134.83	Loss	+17.2% · -1.08R

Recent Triangles on Other Charts

TDGstopped −5.9%Jul 22, 2026 XLEstopped −4.7%Jul 22, 2026 AONhit target +9.3%Jul 21, 2026 EOGstopped −4.8%Jul 21, 2026

Learn about triangle

MPC Support and Resistance Levels

Price is bouncing off a floor near $290.26 and starting to climb. On the weekly chart, the next ceiling overhead sits near $392.63 — about 24% away.

Traders commonly watch $392.63 as a target (its 261.8% extension) — think of it as a sensible next stop, not a guarantee.
That ceiling is the first place the climb might pause — worth watching how price behaves as it gets there.
There's nothing to act on here — the spot to watch was the $290.26 floor about a week ago, when price bounced there, but price has already pulled higher. What's left is the climb playing out, not a fresh starting point.

MPC Recent Daily Prices

Date	Open	High	Low	Close
Jul 22, 2026	$326.67	$326.92	$315.68	$315.82
Jul 21, 2026	$319.26	$321.00	$315.23	$319.76
Jul 20, 2026	$312.95	$319.36	$312.95	$315.31
Jul 17, 2026	$311.73	$313.15	$306.81	$312.60
Jul 16, 2026	$301.99	$308.42	$301.01	$305.85
Jul 15, 2026	$301.53	$304.36	$295.21	$299.18
Jul 14, 2026	$300.00	$303.69	$296.72	$303.40
Jul 13, 2026	$290.82	$299.05	$289.54	$296.88
Jul 10, 2026	$286.32	$287.15	$277.55	$283.74
Jul 9, 2026	$281.43	$283.68	$279.05	$283.30

MPC Frequently Asked Questions

What chart pattern is MPC forming right now?

As of Jul 22, 2026, TradingPal's detector identifies a triangle on Marathon Petroleum (MPC) on the daily chart, with a measured-move target of $308.59.

Is a triangle bullish or bearish?

The triangle detected on MPC is a bullish pattern, projecting a measured-move target of $308.59. See its full backtested track record above — that's the real edge, not the textbook label.

How reliable is a triangle pattern, and what is its win rate?

Across TradingPal's backtest of the triangle family (17,276 trades over 628 symbols), it resolved in the expected direction 53.5% of the time with an average of +0.37R. These are historical statistics, not a prediction.

What is the price target if MPC's pattern breaks out?

The detected triangle has a geometry-based measured-move target of $308.59 (pattern height projected from the breakout). This is a technical target, not a recommendation.

What was MPC's closing price on Jul 22, 2026?

Marathon Petroleum (MPC) last closed at $315.82 on Jul 22, 2026. For the live quote, see the chart above or a real-time quote provider.

Technical analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice. Auto-detected patterns and levels update daily; the chart above is live.