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Microsoft (MSFT) Chart Patterns, Support & Resistance & Technical Analysis

Auto-detected technical analysis for MSFT · data as of Aug 4, 2026. The chart above is live; the read below updates daily.

$492.81last close · Aug 4, 202652-week range $349.20 – $553.72 · 11% below the high

MSFT Triangle Pattern

MSFT is currently forming a triangle on the daily timeframe. Detected Aug 4, 2026.

A triangle is a brief, tidy pause that typically continues the move higher. A breakout projects a measured-move target near $481.05 (+13.7%). Across 13,619 backtested triangles, the setup followed through 52.4% of the time, averaging +0.36R; MSFT's own triangles have hit 60.0%.

DirectionBullishTarget$481.05Projected move+13.7%Breakout level$428.84

New to this pattern? What a triangle is and how to trade it →

MSFT's Most Recent Triangle Trade

MSFT's most recent completed triangle resolved as a loss: it broke higher on May 29, 2026 near $432.55, then was stopped out at $403.41 on Jun 9, 2026 — a -1.27R move (6.7%) over 7 sessions. Across 178 backtested triangles, this setup wins 58.4% of the time.

OutcomeLossResult-1.27REntry$432.55Exit$403.41

Learn about triangle

How Triangles Have Performed

Win rate

52.4%

Avg return

+0.36R

Backtested trades

13,619

MSFT win rate

60.0%

Historical pattern statistics (2006-08-04 – 2026-08-04), not a prediction.

How these backtests work →

MSFT Pattern Trade History

Every completed pattern trade our nightly backtest found on MSFT's daily chart, newest first — wins and losses alike.

Pattern	Entry	Exit	Outcome	Result
Triangle	May 29, 2026 @ $432.55	Jun 9, 2026 @ $403.41	Loss	-1.27R
Triangle	Jan 13, 2026 @ $470.56	Jan 21, 2026 @ $448.88	Win	+1.13R
Triangle	Apr 28, 2025 @ $392.57	May 23, 2025 @ $450.18	Win	+1.56R
Triangle	Nov 26, 2024 @ $421.07	Dec 18, 2024 @ $437.39	Win	+1.51R
Triangle	Sep 11, 2024 @ $415.59	Feb 25, 2025 @ $397.90	Loss	-1.20R
Rising Wedge	Dec 15, 2022 @ $250.66	Jan 4, 2023 @ $226.10	Win	+1.85R
Triangle	Jul 27, 2022 @ $264.11	Aug 19, 2022 @ $286.15	Win	+1.52R
Triangle	Jul 6, 2022 @ $264.09	Jul 13, 2022 @ $252.72	Loss	-1.02R
Falling Wedge	Mar 18, 2022 @ $296.05	May 9, 2022 @ $264.58	Loss	-1.21R
Triangle	Jan 5, 2022 @ $318.35	Jan 24, 2022 @ $294.56	Win	+0.92R
Triangle	Jun 7, 2021 @ $251.34	Jul 19, 2021 @ $277.01	Win	+3.08R
Triangle	Mar 31, 2021 @ $236.19	Apr 22, 2021 @ $257.17	Win	+4.12R

MSFT Support and Resistance Levels

Price is bouncing off a floor near $384.23 and starting to climb. On the weekly chart, the next ceiling overhead sits near $511.31 — about 4% away.

Traders commonly watch $511.31 as a target (its 78.6% extension) — think of it as a sensible next stop, not a guarantee.
That ceiling is the first place the climb might pause — worth watching how price behaves as it gets there.
There's nothing to act on here — the spot to watch was the $384.23 floor about a week ago, when price bounced there, but price has already pulled higher. What's left is the climb playing out, not a fresh starting point.

Nearest auto-detected support sits near $449.98, resistance near $775.06. These are chart/swing-derived levels, not formula pivots.

Resistance

$775.06$908.43

Support

$449.98$364.52$363.02$360.81$356.16$351.56$349.20$344.79

MSFT Recent Daily Prices

Date	Open	High	Low	Close
Aug 4, 2026	$480.90	$499.44	$479.17	$492.81
Aug 3, 2026	$476.13	$491.65	$475.00	$487.65
Jul 31, 2026	$450.00	$466.84	$449.33	$464.72
Jul 30, 2026	$437.90	$458.69	$432.44	$451.10
Jul 29, 2026	$393.40	$401.25	$388.74	$390.54
Jul 28, 2026	$393.16	$400.32	$391.30	$393.35
Jul 27, 2026	$390.08	$394.20	$387.99	$389.10
Jul 24, 2026	$387.05	$389.03	$380.65	$381.70
Jul 23, 2026	$389.97	$391.78	$377.39	$381.58
Jul 22, 2026	$399.58	$401.00	$386.96	$390.34

MSFT Frequently Asked Questions

What chart pattern is MSFT forming right now?

As of Aug 4, 2026, TradingPal's detector identifies a triangle on Microsoft (MSFT) on the daily chart, with a measured-move target of $481.05.

Is a triangle bullish or bearish?

The triangle detected on MSFT is a bullish pattern, projecting a measured-move target of $481.05. See its full backtested track record above — that's the real edge, not the textbook label.

How reliable is a triangle pattern, and what is its win rate?

Across TradingPal's backtest of the triangle family (13,619 trades over 631 symbols), it resolved in the expected direction 52.4% of the time with an average of +0.36R. These are historical statistics, not a prediction.

What are the support and resistance levels for MSFT?

Based on auto-detected, swing-derived levels (as of Aug 4, 2026), MSFT's nearest support is around $449.98 and nearest resistance around $775.06.

What is the price target if MSFT's pattern breaks out?

The detected triangle has a geometry-based measured-move target of $481.05 (pattern height projected from the breakout). This is a technical target, not a recommendation.

What was MSFT's closing price on Aug 4, 2026?

Microsoft (MSFT) last closed at $492.81 on Aug 4, 2026. For the live quote, see the chart above or a real-time quote provider.

Technical analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice. Auto-detected patterns and levels update daily; the chart above is live.