Arch Capital(ACGL)
Auto-detected technical analysis for ACGL · data as of Jul 22, 2026. The chart above is live; the read below updates daily.
ACGL is currently forming a triangle on the daily timeframe. Detected Jul 22, 2026.
A triangle is a breakdown that suggests the recent run may be rolling over. A breakout projects a measured-move target near $91.61 (−8.8%). Across 17,276 backtested triangles, the setup followed through 53.5% of the time, averaging +0.37R; ACGL's own triangles have hit 51.6%.
New to this pattern? What a triangle is and how to trade it →
ACGL's most recent completed triangle resolved as a loss: it broke higher on May 30, 2025 near $95.25, then was stopped out at $89.77 on Jun 10, 2025 — a 5.7% move (-1.34R) over 7 sessions. Across 105 backtested triangles, this setup wins 47.6% of the time.
Historical pattern statistics (1986-12-19 – 2026-07-16), not a prediction.
Every completed pattern trade our nightly backtest found on ACGL's daily chart, newest first — wins and losses alike.
| Pattern | Entry | Exit | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Triangle | May 30, 2025 @ $95.25 | Jun 10, 2025 @ $89.77 | Loss | +16.5% · -1.34R |
| Rising Wedge | May 30, 2025 @ $92.21 | Jul 30, 2025 @ $84.99 | Win | +11.1% · +1.58R |
| Rising Wedge | Apr 4, 2025 @ $94.37 | Apr 7, 2025 @ $89.65 | Win | +6.5% · +1.56R |
| Triangle | Mar 17, 2025 @ $92.85 | Apr 4, 2025 @ $87.83 | Loss | +6.8% · -1.11R |
| Triangle | Aug 14, 2024 @ $98.39 | Sep 6, 2024 @ $110.45 | Win | +5.7% · +2.79R |
| Falling Wedge | Aug 2, 2024 @ $97.32 | Sep 6, 2024 @ $110.45 | Win | +6.2% · +4.05R |
| Triangle | Mar 11, 2024 @ $89.08 | Apr 9, 2024 @ $91.22 | Win | +6.0% · +0.42R |
| Falling Wedge | Aug 5, 2022 @ $44.05 | Sep 26, 2022 @ $41.67 | Loss | +10.6% · -2.23R |
| Falling Wedge | Jun 15, 2022 @ $43.81 | Oct 4, 2022 @ $48.69 | Loss | +9.7% · -1.18R |
| Triangle | Jun 10, 2022 @ $45.04 | Jun 16, 2022 @ $43.40 | Win | +4.8% · +0.57R |
| Rising Wedge | Mar 1, 2022 @ $46.58 | Mar 25, 2022 @ $47.67 | Loss | +7.7% · -1.10R |
| Triangle | Dec 30, 2020 @ $35.63 | Jan 19, 2021 @ $34.18 | Loss | +10.1% · -1.28R |
Historical examples from the published simulation. This selection is not a win-rate sample.
Price found a floor near $89.73 about 6 weeks ago and has been climbing since. On the weekly chart, the next ceiling overhead sits near $109.06 — still about 11% away.
| Date | Open | High | Low | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | $100.26 | $100.47 | $98.16 | $98.63 |
| Jul 21, 2026 | $100.71 | $101.30 | $99.86 | $100.55 |
| Jul 20, 2026 | $101.01 | $102.42 | $100.75 | $101.83 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | $101.23 | $103.35 | $100.81 | $101.35 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | $99.07 | $100.26 | $98.68 | $100.04 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | $100.05 | $100.21 | $97.92 | $98.54 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | $102.06 | $103.04 | $101.18 | $101.53 |
| Jul 13, 2026 | $102.09 | $103.27 | $101.20 | $103.06 |
| Jul 10, 2026 | $101.91 | $102.06 | $100.14 | $101.06 |
| Jul 9, 2026 | $102.01 | $102.06 | $100.51 | $101.70 |
Technical analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice. Auto-detected patterns and levels update daily; the chart above is live.