ASML Holding(ASML)
Auto-detected technical analysis for ASML · data as of Jul 22, 2026. The chart above is live; the read below updates daily.
ASML is currently forming a falling wedge on the daily timeframe. Detected Jul 22, 2026.
A falling wedge is a brief, tidy pause that typically continues the move higher. A breakout projects a measured-move target near $2,040.03 (+14.4%). Across 10,683 backtested falling wedges, the setup followed through 56.4% of the time, averaging +0.52R; ASML's own falling wedges have hit 46.2%.
New to this pattern? What a falling wedge is and how to trade it →
ASML's most recent completed rising wedge (which broke against type) resolved as a win: it broke higher on Jun 2, 2026 near $1,665.85, then reached its target at $1,778.46 on Jun 23, 2026 — a 6.8% move (+0.50R) over 14 sessions. Across 97 backtested rising wedges, this setup wins 53.6% of the time.
Historical pattern statistics (1987-01-30 – 2026-07-17), not a prediction.
Every completed pattern trade our nightly backtest found on ASML's daily chart, newest first — wins and losses alike.
| Pattern | Entry | Exit | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rising Wedge | Jun 2, 2026 @ $1,665.85 | Jun 23, 2026 @ $1,778.46 | Win | +17.0% · +0.50R |
| Rising Wedge | May 22, 2026 @ $1,620.03 | Jun 23, 2026 @ $1,778.46 | Win | +16.8% · +0.89R |
| Triangle | Mar 31, 2026 @ $1,284.33 | Apr 8, 2026 @ $1,421.05 | Loss | +15.3% · -1.06R |
| Bullish Pennant | Oct 27, 2025 @ $1,054.29 | Nov 20, 2025 @ $981.04 | Loss | +13.2% · -1.29R |
| Falling Wedge | Nov 25, 2024 @ $685.00 | Apr 3, 2025 @ $623.22 | Loss | +25.6% · -1.56R |
| Falling Wedge | Sep 26, 2024 @ $860.33 | Oct 15, 2024 @ $730.43 | Loss | +31.3% · -1.03R |
| Rising Wedge | Jul 17, 2024 @ $978.58 | Jul 19, 2024 @ $903.69 | Win | +19.3% · +0.57R |
| Triangle | Apr 12, 2024 @ $964.83 | Jun 5, 2024 @ $1,041.34 | Loss | +14.5% · -2.16R |
| Falling Wedge | Aug 30, 2023 @ $667.39 | Sep 8, 2023 @ $627.86 | Loss | +13.3% · -1.25R |
| Triangle | Jul 13, 2023 @ $741.17 | Jul 20, 2023 @ $676.13 | Loss | +11.8% · -1.36R |
| Rising Wedge | Feb 7, 2023 @ $659.24 | Feb 22, 2023 @ $620.95 | Win | +7.7% · +0.97R |
| Triangle | Mar 4, 2022 @ $603.70 | Mar 8, 2022 @ $567.08 | Win | +9.6% · +0.53R |
A chance to go short showed up on the weekly chart about 3 weeks ago: price ran up to $1,846.33 — a level traders often watch as a target (200% of the prior move) — and has since turned back below it, the kind of rejection a short plays for.
| Date | Open | High | Low | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | $1,767.65 | $1,817.20 | $1,767.04 | $1,801.86 |
| Jul 21, 2026 | $1,801.20 | $1,823.88 | $1,785.54 | $1,801.51 |
| Jul 20, 2026 | $1,778.69 | $1,798.34 | $1,728.60 | $1,739.02 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | $1,733.78 | $1,790.91 | $1,703.40 | $1,747.58 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | $1,796.91 | $1,853.45 | $1,779.12 | $1,784.87 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | $1,825.06 | $1,830.00 | $1,735.65 | $1,815.27 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | $1,787.45 | $1,798.27 | $1,749.86 | $1,775.64 |
| Jul 13, 2026 | $1,773.54 | $1,775.79 | $1,718.08 | $1,726.04 |
| Jul 10, 2026 | $1,783.88 | $1,815.18 | $1,766.66 | $1,797.32 |
| Jul 9, 2026 | $1,835.46 | $1,858.73 | $1,796.76 | $1,804.25 |
Technical analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice. Auto-detected patterns and levels update daily; the chart above is live.