Auto-detected technical analysis for BTC-USD · data as of Jul 14, 2026. The chart above is live; the read below updates daily.
BTC-USD is currently forming a rising wedge on the daily timeframe. Detected Jul 14, 2026.
A rising wedge is a breakdown that suggests the recent run may be rolling over. A breakout projects a measured-move target near $59,504.09 (−14.0%). Across 14,154 backtested rising wedges, the setup followed through 49.3% of the time, averaging +0.13R.
New to this pattern? What a rising wedge is and how to trade it →
BTC-USD's most recent completed rising wedge resolved as a loss: it broke down on Mar 27, 2026 near $68,136.48, then was stopped out at $72,997.88 on Apr 10, 2026 — a -1.25R move (7.1%) over 14 sessions. Across 89 backtested rising wedges, this setup wins 50.6% of the time.
Historical pattern statistics (1986-12-18 – 2026-06-11), not a prediction.
Every completed pattern trade our nightly backtest found on BTC-USD's daily chart, newest first — wins and losses alike.
| Pattern | Entry | Exit | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rising Wedge | Mar 27, 2026 @ $68,136.48 | Apr 10, 2026 @ $72,997.88 | Loss | -1.25R |
| Rising Wedge | Jan 5, 2026 @ $94,605.81 | Jan 30, 2026 @ $84,110.99 | Loss | -1.03R |
| Bullish Pennant | Dec 21, 2025 @ $88,762.79 | Jan 30, 2026 @ $84,110.99 | Loss | -1.07R |
| Falling Wedge | Nov 13, 2025 @ $98,473.73 | Jan 31, 2026 @ $77,120.94 | Win | +2.37R |
| Bearish Pennant | Oct 29, 2025 @ $109,023.88 | Nov 20, 2025 @ $87,951.44 | Win | +2.82R |
| Bullish Pennant | Oct 26, 2025 @ $111,649.49 | Nov 4, 2025 @ $101,468.15 | Loss | -1.25R |
| Bearish Pennant | Jun 20, 2025 @ $104,098.75 | Jul 9, 2025 @ $111,282.85 | Loss | -1.09R |
| Rising Wedge | May 8, 2025 @ $98,749.42 | Jul 19, 2025 @ $117,914.17 | Win | +3.56R |
| Falling Wedge | Apr 11, 2025 @ $83,595.04 | May 17, 2025 @ $103,161.07 | Win | +2.13R |
| Bearish Pennant | Apr 6, 2025 @ $82,182.21 | Apr 22, 2025 @ $93,472.00 | Loss | -1.65R |
| Bearish Pennant | Mar 18, 2025 @ $81,210.56 | Apr 22, 2025 @ $93,472.00 | Loss | -1.60R |
| Bullish Pennant | Feb 19, 2025 @ $96,632.03 | Feb 25, 2025 @ $88,583.74 | Loss | -1.43R |
On the weekly chart, the nearest level worth watching is a ceiling overhead near $305,834.38 — where price has stalled before.
Nearest auto-detected resistance near $311,530.84. These are chart/swing-derived levels, not formula pivots.
| Date | Open | High | Low | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2026 | $62,253.40 | $65,152.00 | $62,190.40 | $64,965.04 |
| Jul 13, 2026 | $63,740.32 | $64,427.00 | $61,750.06 | $62,247.73 |
| Jul 12, 2026 | $63,773.05 | $64,299.00 | $63,588.20 | $63,747.61 |
| Jul 11, 2026 | $64,126.50 | $64,524.00 | $63,769.84 | $63,773.04 |
| Jul 10, 2026 | $63,175.25 | $64,727.00 | $62,865.01 | $64,128.49 |
| Jul 9, 2026 | $62,284.00 | $63,506.00 | $61,636.05 | $63,174.00 |
| Jul 8, 2026 | $63,319.70 | $63,766.00 | $61,453.09 | $62,284.00 |
| Jul 7, 2026 | $64,066.00 | $64,331.00 | $62,583.00 | $63,323.27 |
| Jul 6, 2026 | $63,580.45 | $64,735.00 | $61,250.00 | $64,001.84 |
| Jul 5, 2026 | $63,086.46 | $64,017.00 | $62,384.08 | $63,580.44 |
Technical analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice. Auto-detected patterns and levels update daily; the chart above is live.