Auto-detected technical analysis for MSTR · data as of Aug 4, 2026. The chart above is live; the read below updates daily.
MSTR is currently forming a rising wedge on the daily timeframe. Detected Aug 4, 2026.
A rising wedge is a breakdown that suggests the recent run may be rolling over. A breakout projects a measured-move target near $137.45 (−37.8%). Across 9,519 backtested rising wedges, the setup followed through 50.0% of the time, averaging +0.19R; MSTR's own rising wedges have hit 66.7%.
New to this pattern? What a rising wedge is and how to trade it →
MSTR's most recent completed rising wedge resolved as a win: it broke down on May 13, 2026 near $180.65, then reached its target at $137.45 on Jun 2, 2026 — a +2.64R move (23.9%) over 13 sessions. Across 79 backtested rising wedges, this setup wins 59.5% of the time.
Historical pattern statistics (2006-08-04 – 2026-08-04), not a prediction.
Every completed pattern trade our nightly backtest found on MSTR's daily chart, newest first — wins and losses alike.
| Pattern | Entry | Exit | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rising Wedge | May 13, 2026 @ $180.65 | Jun 2, 2026 @ $137.45 | Win | +2.64R |
| Bullish Pennant | Jun 24, 2025 @ $381.99 | Jul 18, 2025 @ $423.22 | Win | +1.76R |
| Rising Wedge | Jan 31, 2025 @ $340.11 | Feb 25, 2025 @ $257.58 | Win | +1.28R |
| Falling Wedge | Jan 14, 2025 @ $352.29 | Feb 21, 2025 @ $299.69 | Loss | -1.08R |
| Triangle | Sep 19, 2024 @ $140.45 | Nov 1, 2024 @ $229.71 | Win | +3.34R |
| Triangle | Aug 30, 2024 @ $130.98 | Sep 24, 2024 @ $153.88 | Loss | -1.07R |
| Triangle | Oct 19, 2023 @ $34.24 | Nov 17, 2023 @ $48.62 | Win | +5.12R |
| Falling Wedge | Oct 6, 2023 @ $32.73 | Nov 17, 2023 @ $48.62 | Win | +7.87R |
| Triangle | Sep 15, 2023 @ $34.31 | Oct 24, 2023 @ $42.49 | Loss | -1.82R |
| Bullish Pennant | Jun 20, 2023 @ $30.25 | Jul 21, 2023 @ $43.66 | Win | +3.68R |
| Triangle | Jun 16, 2023 @ $29.74 | Jul 21, 2023 @ $43.66 | Win | +4.44R |
| Rising Wedge | Apr 20, 2023 @ $31.03 | Jul 3, 2023 @ $37.78 | Loss | -1.81R |
Nothing notable near price right now — the chart is quiet on the weekly view, and that's perfectly normal.
Nearest auto-detected support sits near $93.48. These are chart/swing-derived levels, not formula pivots.
| Date | Open | High | Low | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | $93.91 | $97.98 | $93.40 | $97.65 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | $92.01 | $96.06 | $90.93 | $94.86 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | $94.86 | $95.20 | $89.21 | $93.28 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | $95.09 | $98.22 | $94.33 | $97.74 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | $96.38 | $100.05 | $93.27 | $93.33 |
| Jul 28, 2026 | $95.47 | $98.37 | $93.12 | $96.16 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | $94.54 | $99.16 | $94.02 | $98.65 |
| Jul 24, 2026 | $93.37 | $93.68 | $89.76 | $91.67 |
| Jul 23, 2026 | $97.00 | $97.51 | $92.34 | $93.63 |
| Jul 22, 2026 | $100.06 | $101.95 | $98.12 | $100.01 |
Technical analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice. Auto-detected patterns and levels update daily; the chart above is live.