Barclays 20+ Year Treas Bond(TLT)
Auto-detected technical analysis for TLT · data as of Aug 14, 2026. The chart above is live; the read below updates daily.
TLT is currently forming a rising wedge on the daily timeframe. Detected Aug 14, 2026.
A rising wedge is a breakdown that suggests the recent run may be rolling over. A breakout projects a measured-move target near $87.27 (−4.5%). Across 9,362 backtested rising wedges, the setup followed through 49.3% of the time, averaging +0.01R; TLT's own rising wedges have hit 76.9%.
New to this pattern? What a rising wedge is and how to trade it →
TLT's most recent completed triangle resolved as a win: it broke higher on Feb 12, 2026 near $88.60, then reached its target at $89.61 on Mar 2, 2026 — a +0.47R move (1.1%) over 11 sessions. Across 103 backtested triangles, this setup wins 58.3% of the time.
Historical pattern statistics (2006-08-14 – 2026-08-14), not a prediction.
Every completed pattern trade our nightly backtest found on TLT's daily chart, newest first — wins and losses alike.
| Pattern | Entry | Exit | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Triangle | Feb 12, 2026 @ $88.60 | Mar 2, 2026 @ $89.61 | Win | +0.47R |
| Rising Wedge | Oct 30, 2025 @ $90.39 | Dec 12, 2025 @ $87.27 | Win | +1.74R |
| Falling Wedge | May 29, 2025 @ $85.77 | May 19, 2026 @ $83.02 | Loss | -1.11R |
| Rising Wedge | Sep 26, 2024 @ $97.88 | Oct 10, 2024 @ $93.51 | Win | +1.17R |
| Triangle | Apr 8, 2024 @ $91.23 | Aug 1, 2024 @ $95.31 | Loss | -1.08R |
| Triangle | Apr 2, 2024 @ $91.57 | Apr 16, 2024 @ $88.08 | Win | +1.01R |
| Falling Wedge | Nov 1, 2023 @ $84.66 | Dec 29, 2023 @ $98.88 | Win | +6.34R |
| Falling Wedge | May 17, 2023 @ $102.88 | Aug 1, 2023 @ $98.04 | Win | +1.84R |
| Rising Wedge | Aug 12, 2022 @ $115.10 | Aug 24, 2022 @ $111.13 | Win | +0.71R |
| Rising Wedge | Aug 5, 2022 @ $117.07 | Aug 22, 2022 @ $112.20 | Win | +1.35R |
| Triangle | Jul 25, 2022 @ $116.72 | Aug 19, 2022 @ $113.04 | Loss | -1.20R |
| Rising Wedge | Jun 3, 2022 @ $115.09 | Jun 13, 2022 @ $111.74 | Win | +0.72R |
A chance to go short showed up on the weekly chart about 2 weeks ago: price ran up to $82.77 — a level traders often watch as a target (100% of the prior move) — and has since turned back below it, the kind of rejection a short plays for.
Nearest auto-detected resistance near $87.01. These are chart/swing-derived levels, not formula pivots.
| Date | Open | High | Low | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | $82.23 | $82.36 | $81.82 | $82.04 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | $82.59 | $83.00 | $82.49 | $82.59 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | $82.45 | $82.48 | $82.05 | $82.11 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | $82.27 | $82.46 | $82.12 | $82.19 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | $82.40 | $82.45 | $82.03 | $82.06 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | $82.80 | $82.85 | $82.48 | $82.76 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | $82.77 | $82.92 | $82.40 | $82.52 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | $82.95 | $83.15 | $82.80 | $83.00 |
| Aug 4, 2026 | $82.65 | $82.84 | $82.57 | $82.82 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | $82.24 | $82.35 | $82.01 | $82.19 |
Technical analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice. Auto-detected patterns and levels update daily; the chart above is live.