Barclays 20+ Year Treas Bond(TLT)
Auto-detected technical analysis for TLT · data as of Jul 22, 2026. The chart above is live; the read below updates daily.
TLT is currently forming a triangle on the daily timeframe. Detected Jul 22, 2026.
A triangle is a brief, tidy pause that typically continues the move higher. A breakout projects a measured-move target near $90.72 (+2.7%). Across 17,276 backtested triangles, the setup followed through 53.5% of the time, averaging +0.37R; TLT's own triangles have hit 50.0%.
New to this pattern? What a triangle is and how to trade it →
TLT's most recent completed triangle resolved as a win: it broke higher on Feb 12, 2026 near $88.60, then reached its target at $89.61 on Mar 2, 2026 — a 1.1% move (+0.47R) over 11 sessions. Across 77 backtested triangles, this setup wins 57.1% of the time.
Historical pattern statistics (1986-12-19 – 2026-07-16), not a prediction.
Every completed pattern trade our nightly backtest found on TLT's daily chart, newest first — wins and losses alike.
| Pattern | Entry | Exit | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Triangle | Feb 12, 2026 @ $88.60 | Mar 2, 2026 @ $89.61 | Win | +2.8% · +0.47R |
| Rising Wedge | Oct 30, 2025 @ $90.39 | Dec 12, 2025 @ $87.27 | Win | +4.5% · +1.74R |
| Falling Wedge | May 29, 2025 @ $85.77 | May 19, 2026 @ $83.02 | Loss | +9.1% · -1.11R |
| Rising Wedge | Sep 25, 2024 @ $97.90 | Oct 10, 2024 @ $93.47 | Win | +5.0% · +1.18R |
| Triangle | Apr 5, 2024 @ $91.69 | Aug 1, 2024 @ $95.31 | Loss | +5.4% · -1.09R |
| Triangle | Apr 1, 2024 @ $92.82 | Apr 16, 2024 @ $88.08 | Win | +5.5% · +2.16R |
| Falling Wedge | Oct 31, 2023 @ $84.38 | Dec 29, 2023 @ $98.88 | Win | +5.6% · +7.41R |
| Falling Wedge | May 16, 2023 @ $102.40 | Aug 1, 2023 @ $98.02 | Win | +5.0% · +1.40R |
| Rising Wedge | Aug 11, 2022 @ $116.72 | Aug 24, 2022 @ $111.13 | Win | +5.3% · +1.41R |
| Triangle | Jul 21, 2022 @ $116.72 | Aug 19, 2022 @ $113.04 | Loss | +8.6% · -1.20R |
| Rising Wedge | Jun 2, 2022 @ $116.04 | Jun 13, 2022 @ $111.92 | Win | +4.1% · +1.11R |
| Rising Wedge | Sep 24, 2021 @ $147.84 | Oct 8, 2021 @ $142.19 | Win | +4.6% · +1.43R |
Historical examples from the published simulation. This selection is not a win-rate sample.
Price is bouncing off a floor near $82.87 and starting to climb. On the weekly chart, the next ceiling overhead sits near $84.65 — about 1.4% away.
| Date | Open | High | Low | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | $83.61 | $83.70 | $83.38 | $83.44 |
| Jul 21, 2026 | $83.74 | $83.77 | $83.43 | $83.66 |
| Jul 20, 2026 | $84.31 | $84.34 | $83.82 | $83.89 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | $84.62 | $84.82 | $84.49 | $84.52 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | $83.84 | $84.22 | $83.79 | $84.21 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | $84.08 | $84.41 | $84.08 | $84.24 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | $84.18 | $84.50 | $84.04 | $84.08 |
| Jul 13, 2026 | $84.19 | $84.28 | $83.93 | $83.97 |
| Jul 10, 2026 | $84.51 | $84.63 | $84.28 | $84.47 |
| Jul 9, 2026 | $84.28 | $84.68 | $84.26 | $84.49 |
Technical analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice. Auto-detected patterns and levels update daily; the chart above is live.