Barclays 20+ Year Treas BondTLT
Auto-detected technical analysis for TLT · data as of Aug 31, 2026. The chart above is live; the read below updates daily.
TLT is currently forming a triangle on the daily timeframe. Detected Aug 31, 2026.
A triangle is a brief, tidy pause that typically continues the move higher. A breakout projects a measured-move target near $90.20 (+2.1%).
New to this pattern? What a triangle is and how to trade it →
TLT's most recent completed falling wedge (which broke against type) resolved as a win: it broke down on Sep 24, 2026 near $79.94, then reached its target at $77.95 on Sep 29, 2026 — a 2.5% move (+0.99R) over 3 sessions. Across 137,399 backtested falling wedges, this setup wins 42.3% of the time.
Every completed pattern trade our nightly backtest found on TLT's daily chart, newest first — wins and losses alike.
| Pattern | Entry | Exit | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falling wedge | Sep 24, 2026 @ $79.94 | Sep 29, 2026 @ $77.95 | Win | +2.5% · +0.99R |
| Falling wedge | May 15, 2026 @ $83.87 | Jun 16, 2026 @ $86.29 | Loss | +1.9% · -1.00R |
| Triangle | May 12, 2026 @ $85.19 | May 15, 2026 @ $83.73 | Win | +1.9% · +1.32R |
| Triangle | Apr 30, 2026 @ $85.42 | May 15, 2026 @ $84.22 | Win | +1.4% · +0.62R |
| Triangle | Apr 28, 2026 @ $86.00 | May 4, 2026 @ $85.10 | Win | +1.1% · +0.66R |
| Falling wedge | Apr 8, 2026 @ $87.36 | Apr 30, 2026 @ $85.89 | Loss | +1.4% · -1.02R |
| Falling wedge | Mar 30, 2026 @ $86.84 | May 5, 2026 @ $85.14 | Loss | +2.2% · -1.22R |
| Rising wedge | Dec 1, 2025 @ $88.84 | Feb 27, 2026 @ $90.69 | Loss | +3.9% · -1.03R |
| Rising wedge | Nov 14, 2025 @ $89.06 | Nov 25, 2025 @ $90.32 | Loss | +5.0% · -1.00R |
| Rising wedge | Nov 5, 2025 @ $88.95 | May 4, 2026 @ $85.17 | Win | +4.3% · +1.17R |
| Rising wedge | Oct 30, 2025 @ $90.39 | Jan 20, 2026 @ $86.73 | Win | +4.2% · +2.04R |
| Rising wedge | Oct 6, 2025 @ $88.71 | Oct 10, 2025 @ $90.04 | Loss | +4.2% · -1.00R |
Historical examples from the published simulation. This selection is not a win-rate sample.
A chance to go short showed up on the weekly chart about a week ago: price ran up to $82.77 — a level traders often watch as a target (100% of the prior move) — and has since turned back below it, the kind of rejection a short plays for.
| Date | Open | High | Low | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | $82.47 | $82.48 | $82.15 | $82.24 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | $83.04 | $83.60 | $82.78 | $82.88 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | $83.20 | $83.35 | $83.00 | $83.13 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | $83.27 | $83.30 | $83.07 | $83.30 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | $83.11 | $83.48 | $82.97 | $83.47 |
| Aug 24, 2026 | $82.49 | $82.88 | $82.45 | $82.56 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | $82.17 | $82.27 | $81.90 | $82.05 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | $82.36 | $82.77 | $82.15 | $82.34 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | $82.81 | $83.06 | $82.61 | $83.02 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | $81.26 | $81.75 | $81.17 | $81.66 |
Technical analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice. Auto-detected patterns and levels update daily; the chart above is live.