Financial Select Sector SPDR(XLF)
Auto-detected technical analysis for XLF · data as of Jul 22, 2026. The chart above is live; the read below updates daily.
XLF is currently forming a rising wedge on the daily timeframe. Detected Jul 22, 2026.
A rising wedge is a breakdown that suggests the recent run may be rolling over. A breakout projects a measured-move target near $52.31 (−5.8%). Across 10,660 backtested rising wedges, the setup followed through 50.4% of the time, averaging +0.20R; XLF's own rising wedges have hit 38.5%.
New to this pattern? What a rising wedge is and how to trade it →
XLF's most recent completed rising wedge resolved as a win: it broke down on Jan 12, 2026 near $54.94, then reached its target at $52.31 on Feb 12, 2026 — a 4.8% move (+1.67R) over 22 sessions. Across 73 backtested rising wedges, this setup wins 60.3% of the time.
Historical pattern statistics (1987-01-30 – 2026-07-13), not a prediction.
Every completed pattern trade our nightly backtest found on XLF's daily chart, newest first — wins and losses alike.
| Pattern | Entry | Exit | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rising Wedge | Jan 12, 2026 @ $54.94 | Feb 12, 2026 @ $52.31 | Win | +5.8% · +1.67R |
| Triangle | Nov 11, 2025 @ $53.18 | Nov 17, 2025 @ $51.45 | Loss | +3.6% · -1.13R |
| Rising Wedge | Oct 10, 2025 @ $52.93 | Dec 11, 2025 @ $54.87 | Loss | +5.6% · -1.24R |
| Rising Wedge | Sep 30, 2025 @ $53.61 | Oct 16, 2025 @ $51.58 | Win | +4.5% · +2.31R |
| Rising Wedge | Sep 24, 2025 @ $53.67 | Nov 17, 2025 @ $51.49 | Win | +4.6% · +2.66R |
| Bullish Pennant | Jun 24, 2025 @ $51.34 | Jul 30, 2025 @ $52.70 | Win | +4.4% · +0.90R |
| Triangle | Oct 10, 2024 @ $45.86 | Nov 20, 2024 @ $49.54 | Win | +5.0% · +3.08R |
| Triangle | Jul 8, 2024 @ $41.65 | Jul 24, 2024 @ $42.58 | Win | +4.8% · +1.00R |
| Rising Wedge | May 28, 2024 @ $41.15 | Jul 15, 2024 @ $43.00 | Loss | +6.1% · -1.38R |
| Triangle | May 6, 2024 @ $40.86 | May 22, 2024 @ $41.94 | Win | +4.6% · +1.57R |
| Triangle | Jun 2, 2023 @ $32.77 | Jul 28, 2023 @ $35.20 | Win | +7.8% · +1.89R |
| Triangle | Jan 26, 2023 @ $36.15 | Mar 9, 2023 @ $33.54 | Loss | +8.7% · -1.64R |
Historical examples from the published simulation. This selection is not a win-rate sample.
Price found a floor near $52.72 about 6 weeks ago and has been climbing since. On the weekly chart, the next ceiling overhead sits near $61.21 — still about 9% away.
| Date | Open | High | Low | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | $56.14 | $56.28 | $55.91 | $56.05 |
| Jul 21, 2026 | $55.99 | $56.34 | $55.72 | $56.11 |
| Jul 20, 2026 | $56.30 | $56.38 | $55.89 | $56.04 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | $56.43 | $56.94 | $56.12 | $56.26 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | $56.76 | $56.84 | $56.39 | $56.75 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | $56.30 | $56.82 | $56.18 | $56.56 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | $55.60 | $56.80 | $55.59 | $56.18 |
| Jul 13, 2026 | $55.98 | $56.16 | $55.61 | $56.07 |
| Jul 10, 2026 | $55.99 | $56.03 | $55.36 | $55.71 |
| Jul 9, 2026 | $55.07 | $55.69 | $54.97 | $55.54 |
Technical analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice. Auto-detected patterns and levels update daily; the chart above is live.