Financial Select Sector SPDR(XLF)

Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) Chart Patterns, Support & Resistance & Technical Analysis

Auto-detected technical analysis for XLF · data as of Jul 22, 2026. The chart above is live; the read below updates daily.

$56.05last close · Jul 22, 202652-week range $47.67$56.94 · 1.55% below the high

XLF Rising Wedge Pattern

XLF is currently forming a rising wedge on the daily timeframe. Detected Jul 22, 2026.

A rising wedge is a breakdown that suggests the recent run may be rolling over. A breakout projects a measured-move target near $52.31 (−5.8%). Across 10,660 backtested rising wedges, the setup followed through 50.4% of the time, averaging +0.20R; XLF's own rising wedges have hit 38.5%.

DirectionBearishTarget$52.31Projected move−5.8%Breakout level$55.26

New to this pattern? What a rising wedge is and how to trade it →

XLF's Most Recent Rising Wedge Trade

XLF's most recent completed rising wedge resolved as a win: it broke down on Jan 12, 2026 near $54.94, then reached its target at $52.31 on Feb 12, 2026 — a 4.8% move (+1.67R) over 22 sessions. Across 73 backtested rising wedges, this setup wins 60.3% of the time.

OutcomeWinResult+4.8%R+1.67REntry$54.94Exit$52.31

Learn about rising wedge

How Rising Wedges Have Performed

Win rate
50.4%
Avg return
+0.20R
Backtested trades
10,660
XLF win rate
38.5%

Historical pattern statistics (1987-01-30 – 2026-07-13), not a prediction.

How these backtests work →

XLF Pattern Trade History

Every completed pattern trade our nightly backtest found on XLF's daily chart, newest first — wins and losses alike.

PatternEntryExitOutcomeResult
Rising WedgeJan 12, 2026 @ $54.94Feb 12, 2026 @ $52.31Win+5.8% · +1.67R
TriangleNov 11, 2025 @ $53.18Nov 17, 2025 @ $51.45Loss+3.6% · -1.13R
Rising WedgeOct 10, 2025 @ $52.93Dec 11, 2025 @ $54.87Loss+5.6% · -1.24R
Rising WedgeSep 30, 2025 @ $53.61Oct 16, 2025 @ $51.58Win+4.5% · +2.31R
Rising WedgeSep 24, 2025 @ $53.67Nov 17, 2025 @ $51.49Win+4.6% · +2.66R
Bullish PennantJun 24, 2025 @ $51.34Jul 30, 2025 @ $52.70Win+4.4% · +0.90R
TriangleOct 10, 2024 @ $45.86Nov 20, 2024 @ $49.54Win+5.0% · +3.08R
TriangleJul 8, 2024 @ $41.65Jul 24, 2024 @ $42.58Win+4.8% · +1.00R
Rising WedgeMay 28, 2024 @ $41.15Jul 15, 2024 @ $43.00Loss+6.1% · -1.38R
TriangleMay 6, 2024 @ $40.86May 22, 2024 @ $41.94Win+4.6% · +1.57R
TriangleJun 2, 2023 @ $32.77Jul 28, 2023 @ $35.20Win+7.8% · +1.89R
TriangleJan 26, 2023 @ $36.15Mar 9, 2023 @ $33.54Loss+8.7% · -1.64R

Rising Wedge Examples on Other Charts

Historical examples from the published simulation. This selection is not a win-rate sample.

Learn about rising wedge

XLF Support and Resistance Levels

Price found a floor near $52.72 about 6 weeks ago and has been climbing since. On the weekly chart, the next ceiling overhead sits near $61.21 — still about 9% away.

  • Traders commonly watch $61.21 as a target (its 261.8% extension) — think of it as a sensible next stop, not a guarantee.
  • That ceiling is the first place the climb might pause — worth watching how price behaves as it gets there.
  • There's nothing to act on here — the spot to watch was the $52.72 floor about 6 weeks ago, when price bounced there, but price has already pulled higher. What's left is the climb playing out, not a fresh starting point.

XLF Recent Daily Prices

DateOpenHighLowClose
Jul 22, 2026$56.14$56.28$55.91$56.05
Jul 21, 2026$55.99$56.34$55.72$56.11
Jul 20, 2026$56.30$56.38$55.89$56.04
Jul 17, 2026$56.43$56.94$56.12$56.26
Jul 16, 2026$56.76$56.84$56.39$56.75
Jul 15, 2026$56.30$56.82$56.18$56.56
Jul 14, 2026$55.60$56.80$55.59$56.18
Jul 13, 2026$55.98$56.16$55.61$56.07
Jul 10, 2026$55.99$56.03$55.36$55.71
Jul 9, 2026$55.07$55.69$54.97$55.54

XLF Frequently Asked Questions

What chart pattern is XLF forming right now?
As of Jul 22, 2026, TradingPal's detector identifies a rising wedge on Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) on the daily chart, with a measured-move target of $52.31.
Is a rising wedge bullish or bearish?
The rising wedge detected on XLF is a bearish pattern, projecting a measured-move target of $52.31. See its full backtested track record above — that's the real edge, not the textbook label.
How reliable is a rising wedge pattern, and what is its win rate?
Across TradingPal's backtest of the rising wedge family (10,660 trades over 628 symbols), it resolved in the expected direction 50.4% of the time with an average of +0.20R. These are historical statistics, not a prediction.
What is the price target if XLF's pattern breaks out?
The detected rising wedge has a geometry-based measured-move target of $52.31 (pattern height projected from the breakout). This is a technical target, not a recommendation.
What was XLF's closing price on Jul 22, 2026?
Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) last closed at $56.05 on Jul 22, 2026. For the live quote, see the chart above or a real-time quote provider.

Technical analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice. Auto-detected patterns and levels update daily; the chart above is live.