Financial Select Sector SPDR(XLF)

Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) Chart Patterns, Support & Resistance & Technical Analysis

Auto-detected technical analysis for XLF · data as of Aug 14, 2026. The chart above is live; the read below updates daily.

$58.16last close · Aug 14, 202652-week range $47.67$58.41 · 0.42% below the high
Rising Wedge · playing out now

XLF is breaking out above a rising wedge — these usually break lower, so a push higher instead is a notably bullish turn.

On this chart, setups like it have followed through about 52% of the time.

As long as price stays above $55.45, the setup is intact — a daily close back below there is the cue to step away.

A natural first target sits near $59.85 — but moves like this often run further. The simple way to follow the rest is to stay with the 10-day average, and only step aside when a day closes below it.

XLF Rising Wedge Pattern

XLF is currently forming a rising wedge on the daily timeframe. Detected Aug 14, 2026.

DirectionBullishTarget$59.85Projected move+4.1%Breakout level$57.61

New to this pattern? What a rising wedge is and how to trade it →

How Rising Wedges Have Performed

Win rate
49.3%
Avg return
+0.01R
Backtested trades
9,362
XLF win rate
42.1%

Historical pattern statistics (2006-08-14 – 2026-08-14), not a prediction.

How these backtests work →

XLF Pattern Trade History

Every completed pattern trade our nightly backtest found on XLF's daily chart, newest first — wins and losses alike.

PatternEntryExitOutcomeResult
Rising WedgeJan 12, 2026 @ $54.94Feb 12, 2026 @ $52.19Win+1.75R
TriangleNov 11, 2025 @ $53.18Nov 17, 2025 @ $51.45Loss-1.13R
Rising WedgeOct 10, 2025 @ $52.93Dec 11, 2025 @ $54.87Loss-1.24R
Rising WedgeSep 30, 2025 @ $53.61Nov 17, 2025 @ $51.52Win+2.38R
Rising WedgeSep 24, 2025 @ $53.67Nov 17, 2025 @ $51.49Win+2.66R
Bullish PennantJun 24, 2025 @ $51.34Jul 30, 2025 @ $52.70Win+0.90R
TriangleOct 14, 2024 @ $46.59Nov 20, 2024 @ $49.54Win+1.53R
TriangleOct 3, 2024 @ $44.93Oct 11, 2024 @ $46.51Loss-1.79R
TriangleJul 9, 2024 @ $41.68Jul 24, 2024 @ $42.58Win+0.94R
TriangleJun 12, 2024 @ $40.99Jul 9, 2024 @ $41.75Loss-1.06R
Rising WedgeMay 28, 2024 @ $41.03Jul 15, 2024 @ $43.00Loss-1.35R
TriangleMay 7, 2024 @ $41.17May 22, 2024 @ $41.94Win+0.77R

Recent Rising Wedges on Other Charts

TNAstopped −14.1%Aug 14, 2026IWMstopped −1.5%Aug 13, 2026MRKstopped −5.8%Aug 13, 2026EWZhit target +4.8%Aug 11, 2026

Learn about rising wedge

XLF Support and Resistance Levels

Price found a floor near $54.81 about 6 weeks ago and has been climbing since. On the weekly chart, the next ceiling overhead sits near $60.67 — still about 4% away.

  • Traders commonly watch $60.67 as a target (its 261.8% extension) — think of it as a sensible next stop, not a guarantee.
  • That ceiling is the first place the climb might pause — worth watching how price behaves as it gets there.
  • There's nothing to act on here — the spot to watch was the $54.81 floor about 6 weeks ago, when price bounced there, but price has already pulled higher. What's left is the climb playing out, not a fresh starting point.

Nearest auto-detected support sits near $54.81, resistance near $61.80. These are chart/swing-derived levels, not formula pivots.

Resistance
$61.80$65.48$78.87
Support
$54.81$51.90$50.64$47.59$42.54

XLF Recent Daily Prices

DateOpenHighLowClose
Aug 14, 2026$58.22$58.29$58.06$58.16
Aug 13, 2026$58.19$58.31$57.75$58.26
Aug 12, 2026$57.83$58.00$57.68$57.92
Aug 11, 2026$57.78$58.10$57.72$57.80
Aug 10, 2026$57.54$58.02$57.46$57.81
Aug 7, 2026$57.61$57.79$57.34$57.60
Aug 6, 2026$58.38$58.38$57.59$57.81
Aug 5, 2026$58.18$58.41$57.80$58.00
Aug 4, 2026$57.22$58.02$57.19$57.88
Aug 3, 2026$57.29$57.55$57.00$57.38

XLF Frequently Asked Questions

What chart pattern is XLF forming right now?
As of Aug 14, 2026, TradingPal's detector identifies a rising wedge on Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) on the daily chart, with a measured-move target of $59.85.
Is a rising wedge bullish or bearish?
The rising wedge detected on XLF is a bullish pattern, projecting a measured-move target of $59.85. See its full backtested track record above — that's the real edge, not the textbook label.
How reliable is a rising wedge pattern, and what is its win rate?
Across TradingPal's backtest of the rising wedge family (9,362 trades over 631 symbols), it resolved in the expected direction 49.3% of the time with an average of +0.01R. These are historical statistics, not a prediction.
What are the support and resistance levels for XLF?
Based on auto-detected, swing-derived levels (as of Aug 14, 2026), XLF's nearest support is around $54.81 and nearest resistance around $61.80.
What is the price target if XLF's pattern breaks out?
The detected rising wedge has a geometry-based measured-move target of $59.85 (pattern height projected from the breakout). This is a technical target, not a recommendation.
What was XLF's closing price on Aug 14, 2026?
Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) last closed at $58.16 on Aug 14, 2026. For the live quote, see the chart above or a real-time quote provider.

Technical analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice. Auto-detected patterns and levels update daily; the chart above is live.