Auto-detected technical analysis for HWM · data as of Aug 4, 2026. The chart above is live; the read below updates daily.
HWM is currently forming a triangle on the daily timeframe. Detected Aug 4, 2026.
A triangle is a brief, tidy pause that typically continues the move higher. A breakout projects a measured-move target near $314.81 (+10.0%). Across 13,619 backtested triangles, the setup followed through 52.4% of the time, averaging +0.36R; HWM's own triangles have hit 52.4%.
New to this pattern? What a triangle is and how to trade it →
HWM's most recent completed falling wedge resolved as a win: it broke higher on Dec 18, 2025 near $198.59, then reached its target at $205.02 on Dec 31, 2025 — a +0.85R move (3.2%) over 8 sessions. Across 163 backtested falling wedges, this setup wins 49.7% of the time.
Historical pattern statistics (2006-08-04 – 2026-08-04), not a prediction.
Every completed pattern trade our nightly backtest found on HWM's daily chart, newest first — wins and losses alike.
| Pattern | Entry | Exit | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falling Wedge | Dec 18, 2025 @ $198.59 | Dec 31, 2025 @ $205.02 | Win | +0.85R |
| Rising Wedge | Aug 5, 2025 @ $180.36 | Sep 23, 2025 @ $193.58 | Loss | -1.02R |
| Triangle | Apr 4, 2025 @ $115.95 | Apr 7, 2025 @ $108.78 | Win | +0.39R |
| Bullish Pennant | Feb 14, 2025 @ $130.68 | Feb 21, 2025 @ $129.83 | Loss | -0.11R |
| Bullish Pennant | Sep 24, 2024 @ $99.45 | Dec 9, 2024 @ $113.75 | Win | +1.64R |
| Bullish Pennant | Jul 8, 2024 @ $80.17 | Aug 5, 2024 @ $86.75 | Win | +2.70R |
| Rising Wedge | Jan 18, 2023 @ $40.17 | Feb 13, 2023 @ $41.08 | Loss | -1.07R |
| Bullish Pennant | Jan 6, 2023 @ $40.44 | May 4, 2023 @ $43.27 | Win | +0.89R |
| Falling Wedge | Jul 1, 2022 @ $31.65 | Aug 19, 2022 @ $37.60 | Win | +3.28R |
| Triangle | Jun 2, 2022 @ $36.28 | Jun 13, 2022 @ $32.19 | Loss | -1.01R |
| Falling Wedge | May 26, 2022 @ $34.43 | Jun 13, 2022 @ $32.19 | Loss | -1.02R |
| Rising Wedge | Apr 25, 2022 @ $34.55 | Jun 23, 2022 @ $30.51 | Win | +1.36R |
Price is being turned away at a ceiling near $289.41 and starting to slide. On the weekly chart, the next floor below sits near $222.61 — about 23% away.
Nearest auto-detected support sits near $201.33, resistance near $289.41. These are chart/swing-derived levels, not formula pivots.
| Date | Open | High | Low | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | $290.00 | $291.59 | $283.69 | $288.20 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | $284.37 | $287.04 | $279.70 | $286.34 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | $281.32 | $285.14 | $278.00 | $282.26 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | $275.75 | $278.76 | $270.25 | $277.28 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | $285.20 | $286.04 | $272.73 | $272.79 |
| Jul 28, 2026 | $287.99 | $288.98 | $281.35 | $286.04 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | $292.44 | $295.28 | $282.81 | $287.94 |
| Jul 24, 2026 | $287.36 | $293.00 | $286.46 | $289.26 |
| Jul 23, 2026 | $280.49 | $288.66 | $278.61 | $287.09 |
| Jul 22, 2026 | $278.76 | $282.04 | $277.48 | $280.70 |
Technical analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice. Auto-detected patterns and levels update daily; the chart above is live.