Paychex(PAYX)
Auto-detected technical analysis for PAYX · data as of Jul 22, 2026. The chart above is live; the read below updates daily.
PAYX is currently forming a falling wedge on the daily timeframe. Detected Jul 22, 2026.
A falling wedge usually breaks higher, but PAYX is breaking lower out of it instead — a notably bearish turn. A breakout projects a measured-move target near $126.45 (−6.2%). Across 10,683 backtested falling wedges, the setup followed through 56.4% of the time, averaging +0.52R; PAYX's own falling wedges have hit 55.0%.
New to this pattern? What a falling wedge is and how to trade it →
PAYX's most recent completed falling wedge (which broke against type) resolved as a win: it broke down on Sep 9, 2025 near $134.31, then reached its target at $126.45 on Sep 25, 2025 — a 5.8% move (+1.50R) over 12 sessions. Across 111 backtested falling wedges, this setup wins 57.7% of the time.
Historical pattern statistics (1987-01-30 – 2026-07-17), not a prediction.
Every completed pattern trade our nightly backtest found on PAYX's daily chart, newest first — wins and losses alike.
| Pattern | Entry | Exit | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falling Wedge | Sep 9, 2025 @ $134.31 | Sep 25, 2025 @ $126.45 | Win | +6.2% · +1.50R |
| Falling Wedge | Apr 25, 2025 @ $143.96 | Jun 9, 2025 @ $156.97 | Win | +9.8% · +2.25R |
| Triangle | Jan 13, 2025 @ $140.88 | Feb 7, 2025 @ $146.74 | Win | +5.6% · +1.00R |
| Triangle | Dec 12, 2024 @ $141.17 | Jan 27, 2025 @ $148.04 | Loss | +7.8% · -1.10R |
| Rising Wedge | Sep 10, 2024 @ $133.59 | Nov 15, 2024 @ $142.96 | Win | +10.9% · +0.81R |
| Rising Wedge | Aug 23, 2024 @ $128.70 | Sep 18, 2024 @ $132.50 | Win | +4.7% · +0.57R |
| Triangle | May 10, 2024 @ $121.82 | Jul 1, 2024 @ $117.00 | Loss | +8.3% · -1.03R |
| Triangle | Feb 14, 2023 @ $113.97 | Jul 17, 2023 @ $121.03 | Loss | +13.8% · -1.02R |
| Triangle | Feb 2, 2023 @ $118.60 | Feb 21, 2023 @ $111.52 | Loss | +15.7% · -1.14R |
| Rising Wedge | Dec 6, 2022 @ $120.21 | Dec 22, 2022 @ $111.17 | Win | +9.1% · +1.48R |
| Rising Wedge | Nov 22, 2022 @ $122.52 | Dec 15, 2022 @ $117.08 | Loss | +8.8% · -1.23R |
| Triangle | Jul 26, 2022 @ $122.53 | Aug 22, 2022 @ $135.94 | Win | +13.0% · +1.18R |
Historical examples from the published simulation. This selection is not a win-rate sample.
Price found a floor near $85.50 about 2 months ago and has been climbing since. On the weekly chart, the next ceiling overhead sits near $146.28 — still about 32% away.
| Date | Open | High | Low | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | $113.13 | $113.24 | $110.10 | $110.74 |
| Jul 21, 2026 | $113.85 | $114.77 | $111.93 | $111.96 |
| Jul 20, 2026 | $113.87 | $115.39 | $112.58 | $115.20 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | $115.13 | $117.72 | $112.50 | $114.39 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | $111.47 | $115.24 | $111.47 | $114.70 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | $109.77 | $112.34 | $109.43 | $110.00 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | $107.99 | $110.52 | $107.49 | $109.52 |
| Jul 13, 2026 | $108.91 | $111.64 | $108.74 | $110.75 |
| Jul 10, 2026 | $107.46 | $107.86 | $106.49 | $107.54 |
| Jul 9, 2026 | $104.62 | $106.90 | $103.74 | $106.26 |
Technical analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice. Auto-detected patterns and levels update daily; the chart above is live.