Super Micro Computer(SMCI)
Auto-detected technical analysis for SMCI · data as of Jul 22, 2026. The chart above is live; the read below updates daily.
SMCI is currently forming a falling wedge on the daily timeframe. Detected Jul 22, 2026.
A falling wedge is a brief, tidy pause that typically continues the move higher. A breakout projects a measured-move target near $33.60 (+29.0%). Across 10,683 backtested falling wedges, the setup followed through 56.4% of the time, averaging +0.52R; SMCI's own falling wedges have hit 36.4%.
New to this pattern? What a falling wedge is and how to trade it →
SMCI's most recent completed triangle resolved as a win: it broke down on Mar 18, 2026 near $30.34, then reached its target at $25.05 on Mar 20, 2026 — a 17.4% move (+2.53R) over 2 sessions. Across 62 backtested triangles, this setup wins 58.1% of the time.
Historical pattern statistics (1987-01-30 – 2026-07-17), not a prediction.
Every completed pattern trade our nightly backtest found on SMCI's daily chart, newest first — wins and losses alike.
| Pattern | Entry | Exit | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Triangle | Mar 18, 2026 @ $30.34 | Mar 20, 2026 @ $25.05 | Win | +19.7% · +2.53R |
| Triangle | May 13, 2025 @ $37.63 | May 23, 2025 @ $40.09 | Win | +30.9% · +0.35R |
| Falling Wedge | Apr 22, 2025 @ $31.03 | Jul 22, 2025 @ $49.86 | Win | +60.9% · +8.86R |
| Falling Wedge | Feb 5, 2025 @ $31.03 | Feb 25, 2025 @ $45.54 | Win | +30.2% · +2.73R |
| Falling Wedge | Jan 27, 2025 @ $28.66 | Feb 7, 2025 @ $36.28 | Loss | +49.6% · -1.21R |
| Triangle | Jul 17, 2024 @ $81.55 | Aug 2, 2024 @ $58.94 | Win | +32.4% · +1.53R |
| Triangle | Jul 8, 2024 @ $88.35 | Jul 24, 2024 @ $71.16 | Loss | +31.5% · -1.57R |
| Triangle | Jun 28, 2024 @ $84.84 | Jul 25, 2024 @ $68.28 | Win | +22.8% · +1.00R |
| Triangle | Jun 17, 2024 @ $87.06 | Jul 24, 2024 @ $71.16 | Loss | +45.6% · -1.35R |
| Triangle | Apr 19, 2024 @ $87.10 | Aug 5, 2024 @ $54.49 | Win | +42.1% · +2.18R |
| Triangle | Apr 12, 2024 @ $91.37 | Aug 5, 2024 @ $56.56 | Win | +42.1% · +1.81R |
| Triangle | Dec 18, 2023 @ $30.47 | Feb 21, 2024 @ $73.42 | Win | +34.5% · +8.04R |
Historical examples from the published simulation. This selection is not a win-rate sample.
Price is bouncing off a floor near $23.27 and starting to climb. On the weekly chart, the next ceiling overhead sits near $293.84 — about 862% away.
| Date | Open | High | Low | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | $28.89 | $32.28 | $28.50 | $30.56 |
| Jul 21, 2026 | $24.40 | $25.54 | $24.33 | $25.50 |
| Jul 20, 2026 | $24.35 | $24.54 | $23.77 | $23.83 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | $24.33 | $25.17 | $23.38 | $24.18 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | $26.52 | $26.72 | $24.65 | $24.68 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | $28.11 | $28.35 | $26.17 | $26.89 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | $27.96 | $28.13 | $27.32 | $27.65 |
| Jul 13, 2026 | $27.64 | $28.24 | $27.22 | $27.66 |
| Jul 10, 2026 | $28.30 | $29.00 | $27.91 | $28.31 |
| Jul 9, 2026 | $28.75 | $29.12 | $28.19 | $28.24 |
Technical analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice. Auto-detected patterns and levels update daily; the chart above is live.