Steel Dynamics(STLD)
Auto-detected technical analysis for STLD · data as of Jul 22, 2026. The chart above is live; the read below updates daily.
STLD is currently forming a rising wedge on the daily timeframe. Detected Jul 22, 2026.
A rising wedge usually breaks lower, but STLD is breaking higher out of it instead — a notably bullish turn. A breakout projects a measured-move target near $198.29 (+10.6%). Across 10,660 backtested rising wedges, the setup followed through 50.4% of the time, averaging +0.20R; STLD's own rising wedges have hit 47.1%.
New to this pattern? What a rising wedge is and how to trade it →
STLD's most recent completed rising wedge (which broke against type) resolved as a win: it broke higher on Jan 30, 2026 near $182.56, then reached its target at $191.68 on Feb 13, 2026 — a 5.0% move (+0.74R) over 10 sessions. Across 102 backtested rising wedges, this setup wins 50.0% of the time.
Historical pattern statistics (1987-01-30 – 2026-07-13), not a prediction.
Every completed pattern trade our nightly backtest found on STLD's daily chart, newest first — wins and losses alike.
| Pattern | Entry | Exit | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rising Wedge | Jan 30, 2026 @ $182.56 | Feb 13, 2026 @ $191.68 | Win | +10.6% · +0.74R |
| Rising Wedge | Jan 6, 2026 @ $169.73 | Jan 21, 2026 @ $179.83 | Loss | +12.6% · -1.30R |
| Rising Wedge | Dec 30, 2025 @ $172.33 | Jan 21, 2026 @ $179.83 | Loss | +10.9% · -1.24R |
| Rising Wedge | Oct 16, 2025 @ $145.65 | Oct 21, 2025 @ $153.82 | Loss | +7.4% · -2.14R |
| Rising Wedge | Sep 16, 2025 @ $138.35 | Oct 10, 2025 @ $141.23 | Win | +6.4% · +0.32R |
| Falling Wedge | Aug 22, 2025 @ $128.16 | Sep 24, 2025 @ $136.37 | Win | +10.6% · +2.42R |
| Falling Wedge | Aug 13, 2025 @ $126.33 | Sep 12, 2025 @ $130.65 | Win | +8.3% · +0.67R |
| Falling Wedge | Jul 30, 2025 @ $126.37 | Sep 16, 2025 @ $139.67 | Loss | +9.3% · -1.41R |
| Triangle | Jul 24, 2025 @ $129.61 | Sep 16, 2025 @ $139.67 | Loss | +12.2% · -1.63R |
| Triangle | Jul 8, 2025 @ $135.93 | Aug 1, 2025 @ $122.37 | Loss | +17.3% · -1.41R |
| Triangle | Jul 1, 2025 @ $126.65 | Sep 16, 2025 @ $139.67 | Loss | +16.5% · -1.01R |
| Rising Wedge | Feb 11, 2025 @ $134.44 | Mar 10, 2025 @ $119.40 | Loss | +9.0% · -1.44R |
Historical examples from the published simulation. This selection is not a win-rate sample.
Price was turned away at a ceiling near $247.90 about 3 weeks ago and has been sliding since. On the weekly chart, the next floor below sits near $162.16 — still about 32% away.
| Date | Open | High | Low | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | $235.83 | $241.55 | $234.94 | $238.64 |
| Jul 21, 2026 | $239.07 | $239.99 | $231.96 | $233.52 |
| Jul 20, 2026 | $235.89 | $237.37 | $228.77 | $230.49 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | $232.70 | $236.33 | $229.63 | $235.51 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | $234.11 | $237.78 | $233.48 | $234.98 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | $233.81 | $236.95 | $230.61 | $235.56 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | $236.72 | $238.65 | $231.09 | $233.35 |
| Jul 13, 2026 | $229.18 | $237.14 | $229.18 | $234.14 |
| Jul 10, 2026 | $222.06 | $229.24 | $222.06 | $228.42 |
| Jul 9, 2026 | $230.03 | $230.50 | $221.52 | $222.06 |
Technical analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice. Auto-detected patterns and levels update daily; the chart above is live.