Tesla(TSLA)
Auto-detected technical analysis for TSLA · data as of Jul 22, 2026. The chart above is live; the read below updates daily.
TSLA just broke higher out of a falling wedge — a brief, tidy pause inside a strong run. That's usually a breather before another push up.
On this chart, setups like it have followed through about 67% of the time.
As long as price stays above $368.6, the setup is intact — a daily close back below there is the cue to step away.
A natural first target sits near $446.1 — but moves like this often run further. The simple way to follow the rest is to stay with the 10-day average, and only step aside when a day closes below it.
TSLA is currently forming a falling wedge on the daily timeframe. Detected Jul 22, 2026.
New to this pattern? What a falling wedge is and how to trade it →
Historical pattern statistics (1987-01-30 – 2026-07-17), not a prediction.
Every completed pattern trade our nightly backtest found on TSLA's daily chart, newest first — wins and losses alike.
| Pattern | Entry | Exit | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falling Wedge | Mar 27, 2026 @ $361.83 | Apr 15, 2026 @ $391.95 | Loss | +13.3% · -1.41R |
| Triangle | Mar 6, 2026 @ $397.95 | Mar 30, 2026 @ $358.32 | Win | +10.9% · +1.03R |
| Triangle | Sep 10, 2025 @ $351.50 | Oct 2, 2025 @ $436.00 | Win | +44.0% · +3.26R |
| Triangle | Aug 11, 2025 @ $342.46 | Oct 2, 2025 @ $436.00 | Win | +30.8% · +3.36R |
| Triangle | Aug 8, 2025 @ $323.30 | Oct 2, 2025 @ $436.00 | Win | +24.7% · +4.42R |
| Triangle | Aug 1, 2025 @ $304.87 | Aug 11, 2025 @ $339.03 | Loss | +31.2% · -1.03R |
| Falling Wedge | Apr 23, 2025 @ $254.86 | May 23, 2025 @ $339.34 | Win | +44.2% · +2.63R |
| Triangle | Jan 27, 2025 @ $394.80 | Feb 26, 2025 @ $291.25 | Win | +33.4% · +2.30R |
| Rising Wedge | Dec 10, 2024 @ $404.91 | Feb 25, 2025 @ $302.80 | Loss | +35.5% · -1.30R |
| Bullish Pennant | Dec 5, 2024 @ $367.00 | Dec 20, 2024 @ $421.06 | Win | +17.1% · +1.34R |
| Triangle | Sep 5, 2024 @ $223.49 | Nov 4, 2024 @ $242.84 | Win | +25.8% · +0.93R |
| Rising Wedge | Jan 3, 2024 @ $244.86 | Jan 19, 2024 @ $208.66 | Win | +18.3% · +1.79R |
Historical examples from the published simulation. This selection is not a win-rate sample.
Price was turned away at a ceiling near $459.76 about 7 weeks ago and has been sliding since. On the weekly chart, the next floor below sits near $322.96 — still about 14% away.
| Date | Open | High | Low | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | $375.53 | $380.17 | $372.90 | $374.01 |
| Jul 21, 2026 | $371.17 | $384.07 | $369.98 | $378.93 |
| Jul 20, 2026 | $386.05 | $386.61 | $369.43 | $369.57 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | $381.78 | $385.69 | $377.22 | $380.84 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | $392.35 | $395.31 | $385.32 | $391.06 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | $399.40 | $406.59 | $390.66 | $394.46 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | $399.05 | $402.22 | $394.76 | $396.18 |
| Jul 13, 2026 | $404.61 | $405.57 | $391.37 | $394.76 |
| Jul 10, 2026 | $410.49 | $413.16 | $402.81 | $407.76 |
| Jul 9, 2026 | $393.99 | $407.86 | $390.86 | $406.55 |
Technical analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice. Auto-detected patterns and levels update daily; the chart above is live.