Trust Ultra VIX Short(UVXY)
Auto-detected technical analysis for UVXY · data as of Jul 22, 2026. The chart above is live; the read below updates daily.
UVXY is currently forming a falling wedge on the daily timeframe. Detected Jul 22, 2026.
A falling wedge is a brief, tidy pause that typically continues the move higher. A breakout projects a measured-move target near $29.72 (+19.0%). Across 10,683 backtested falling wedges, the setup followed through 56.4% of the time, averaging +0.52R; UVXY's own falling wedges have hit 55.6%.
New to this pattern? What a falling wedge is and how to trade it →
UVXY's most recent completed triangle resolved as a win: it broke higher on Feb 27, 2026 near $40.91, then reached its target at $46.08 on Mar 16, 2026 — a 12.6% move (+1.13R) over 11 sessions. Across 29 backtested triangles, this setup wins 62.1% of the time.
Historical pattern statistics (1987-01-30 – 2026-07-17), not a prediction.
Every completed pattern trade our nightly backtest found on UVXY's daily chart, newest first — wins and losses alike.
| Pattern | Entry | Exit | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Triangle | Feb 27, 2026 @ $40.91 | Mar 16, 2026 @ $46.08 | Win | +22.0% · +1.13R |
| Falling Wedge | Jul 2, 2025 @ $91.96 | Aug 12, 2025 @ $69.73 | Win | +23.0% · +0.90R |
| Falling Wedge | Jun 26, 2025 @ $94.99 | Sep 17, 2025 @ $52.27 | Win | +42.6% · +1.96R |
| Falling Wedge | Feb 20, 2025 @ $90.08 | Mar 14, 2025 @ $118.95 | Win | +47.8% · +7.69R |
| Triangle | Nov 6, 2024 @ $109.95 | Apr 4, 2025 @ $198.95 | Loss | +41.3% · -1.97R |
| Falling Wedge | Jun 14, 2024 @ $122.00 | Jun 27, 2024 @ $115.40 | Loss | +22.2% · -1.17R |
| Falling Wedge | Mar 21, 2024 @ $157.00 | Apr 15, 2024 @ $205.50 | Loss | +28.1% · -1.28R |
| Falling Wedge | Mar 20, 2024 @ $161.20 | Apr 15, 2024 @ $205.50 | Loss | +27.2% · -1.32R |
| Falling Wedge | Mar 15, 2024 @ $186.41 | May 3, 2024 @ $151.25 | Loss | +27.2% · -1.04R |
| Triangle | Aug 28, 2023 @ $421.25 | Nov 14, 2023 @ $298.73 | Win | +33.2% · +1.21R |
| Falling Wedge | Jun 1, 2023 @ $745.00 | Jun 15, 2023 @ $533.08 | Win | +27.3% · +1.41R |
| Triangle | Mar 1, 2023 @ $1,233.61 | Mar 10, 2023 @ $1,502.50 | Loss | +27.8% · -1.23R |
Price found a floor near $16.33 about 6 months ago and has been climbing since. On the weekly chart, the next ceiling overhead sits near $33.61 — still about 41% away.
| Date | Open | High | Low | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | $23.88 | $24.23 | $23.60 | $23.76 |
| Jul 21, 2026 | $23.92 | $24.45 | $23.38 | $23.51 |
| Jul 20, 2026 | $24.07 | $24.99 | $23.65 | $24.75 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | $25.88 | $25.98 | $24.68 | $25.44 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | $23.10 | $24.04 | $22.86 | $23.38 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | $23.31 | $23.75 | $22.66 | $22.71 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | $23.67 | $23.97 | $23.35 | $23.80 |
| Jul 13, 2026 | $23.60 | $24.57 | $23.19 | $24.32 |
| Jul 10, 2026 | $23.77 | $24.69 | $23.11 | $23.18 |
| Jul 9, 2026 | $24.43 | $24.83 | $23.93 | $24.04 |
Technical analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice. Auto-detected patterns and levels update daily; the chart above is live.