Trust Ultra VIX Short(UVXY)
Auto-detected technical analysis for UVXY · data as of Aug 14, 2026. The chart above is live; the read below updates daily.
UVXY is currently forming a triangle on the daily timeframe. Detected Aug 14, 2026.
A triangle is a brief, tidy pause that typically continues the move higher. A breakout projects a measured-move target near $48.08 (+22.1%). Across 13,389 backtested triangles, the setup followed through 51.1% of the time, averaging +0.16R; UVXY's own triangles have hit 50.0%.
New to this pattern? What a triangle is and how to trade it →
UVXY's most recent completed rising wedge (which broke against type) resolved as a win: it broke higher on Mar 5, 2026 near $43.21, then reached its target at $46.08 on Mar 16, 2026 — a +0.42R move (6.6%) over 7 sessions. Across 28 backtested rising wedges, this setup wins 60.7% of the time.
Historical pattern statistics (2006-08-14 – 2026-08-14), not a prediction.
Every completed pattern trade our nightly backtest found on UVXY's daily chart, newest first — wins and losses alike.
| Pattern | Entry | Exit | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rising Wedge | Mar 5, 2026 @ $43.21 | Mar 16, 2026 @ $46.08 | Win | +0.42R |
| Triangle | Feb 27, 2026 @ $40.91 | Mar 16, 2026 @ $46.08 | Win | +1.13R |
| Falling Wedge | Jul 8, 2025 @ $90.95 | Aug 12, 2025 @ $69.73 | Win | +0.82R |
| Falling Wedge | Jun 26, 2025 @ $94.99 | Sep 17, 2025 @ $52.27 | Win | +1.96R |
| Falling Wedge | Feb 25, 2025 @ $99.25 | Mar 14, 2025 @ $118.95 | Win | +1.52R |
| Falling Wedge | Dec 12, 2024 @ $95.40 | Dec 23, 2024 @ $101.05 | Win | +1.53R |
| Triangle | Nov 7, 2024 @ $107.95 | Apr 4, 2025 @ $198.95 | Loss | -1.93R |
| Falling Wedge | Jun 18, 2024 @ $121.35 | Jun 27, 2024 @ $115.40 | Loss | -1.20R |
| Falling Wedge | Apr 2, 2024 @ $173.47 | May 3, 2024 @ $151.25 | Loss | -1.06R |
| Falling Wedge | Mar 22, 2024 @ $160.00 | Apr 15, 2024 @ $205.50 | Loss | -1.31R |
| Triangle | Mar 3, 2023 @ $1,174.75 | Mar 10, 2023 @ $1,502.50 | Loss | -1.18R |
| Falling Wedge | Jan 9, 2023 @ $1,572.50 | Jan 24, 2023 @ $1,276.42 | Win | +0.73R |
A chance to go short showed up on the weekly chart about 2 weeks ago: price ran up to $23.28 — a level traders often watch as a target (161.8% of the prior move) — and has since turned back below it, the kind of rejection a short plays for.
Nearest auto-detected resistance near $33.95. These are chart/swing-derived levels, not formula pivots.
| Date | Open | High | Low | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | $20.27 | $20.51 | $20.03 | $20.10 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | $20.16 | $20.65 | $20.10 | $20.52 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | $20.94 | $20.96 | $20.21 | $20.33 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | $21.52 | $21.64 | $21.19 | $21.19 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | $21.42 | $21.63 | $21.18 | $21.63 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | $21.65 | $21.81 | $21.44 | $21.62 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | $22.27 | $22.33 | $21.47 | $21.56 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | $23.30 | $23.46 | $21.77 | $22.06 |
| Aug 4, 2026 | $22.37 | $23.18 | $22.35 | $23.18 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | $22.81 | $23.04 | $22.57 | $22.93 |
Technical analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice. Auto-detected patterns and levels update daily; the chart above is live.