Trust Ultra VIX ShortUVXY
Auto-detected technical analysis for UVXY · data as of Sep 4, 2026. The chart above is live; the read below updates daily.
UVXY is currently forming a rising wedge on the daily timeframe. Detected Sep 4, 2026.
A rising wedge usually breaks lower, but UVXY is breaking higher out of it instead — a notably bullish turn. A breakout projects a measured-move target near $49.07 (+17.8%).
New to this pattern? What a rising wedge is and how to trade it →
UVXY's most recent completed falling wedge resolved as a win: it broke higher on Oct 14, 2026 near $16.31, then reached its target at $19.48 on Nov 10, 2026 — a 19.5% move (+5.11R) over 19 sessions. Across 137,399 backtested falling wedges, this setup wins 42.3% of the time.
Every completed pattern trade our nightly backtest found on UVXY's daily chart, newest first — wins and losses alike.
| Pattern | Entry | Exit | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falling wedge | Oct 14, 2026 @ $16.31 | Nov 10, 2026 @ $19.48 | Win | +41.7% · +5.11R |
| Falling wedge | Jul 16, 2026 @ $23.15 | Aug 5, 2026 @ $22.17 | Loss | +80.3% · -2.00R |
| Falling wedge | Jul 16, 2026 @ $23.89 | Aug 6, 2026 @ $22.27 | Loss | +24.7% · -1.32R |
| Falling wedge | May 22, 2026 @ $33.11 | May 26, 2026 @ $31.59 | Loss | +54.3% · -2.00R |
| Rising wedge | Apr 8, 2026 @ $43.40 | May 1, 2026 @ $35.99 | Win | +24.4% · +0.39R |
| Rising wedge | Mar 27, 2026 @ $62.10 | Apr 7, 2026 @ $50.17 | Loss | +8.3% · -0.90R |
| Triangle | Mar 5, 2026 @ $45.52 | Mar 17, 2026 @ $45.25 | Loss | +5.5% · -0.05R |
| Triangle | Mar 3, 2026 @ $45.05 | Mar 17, 2026 @ $45.25 | Win | +11.3% · +0.03R |
| Triangle | Feb 5, 2026 @ $40.94 | Mar 17, 2026 @ $45.25 | Win | +11.2% · +0.69R |
| Falling wedge | Nov 20, 2025 @ $66.32 | Nov 25, 2025 @ $54.05 | Loss | +28.6% · -1.33R |
| Falling wedge | Nov 17, 2025 @ $59.54 | Nov 28, 2025 @ $49.22 | Loss | +29.8% · -1.17R |
| Falling wedge | Sep 2, 2025 @ $65.00 | Sep 9, 2025 @ $56.90 | Loss | +29.0% · -1.13R |
Historical examples from the published simulation. This selection is not a win-rate sample.
A chance to go short showed up on the weekly chart about 5 weeks ago: price ran up to $23.28 — a level traders often watch as a target (161.8% of the prior move) — and has since turned back below it, the kind of rejection a short plays for.
| Date | Open | High | Low | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | $17.12 | $17.56 | $17.07 | $17.53 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | $17.79 | $17.93 | $17.39 | $17.41 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | $18.55 | $18.66 | $17.90 | $17.97 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | $18.47 | $19.04 | $18.16 | $18.82 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | $18.59 | $18.71 | $17.96 | $17.97 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | $18.40 | $18.65 | $18.30 | $18.45 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | $18.70 | $18.77 | $18.06 | $18.15 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | $19.04 | $19.13 | $18.77 | $18.79 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | $19.22 | $19.57 | $18.92 | $18.95 |
| Aug 24, 2026 | $19.23 | $19.52 | $19.18 | $19.52 |
Technical analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice. Auto-detected patterns and levels update daily; the chart above is live.